Update 2: At this point, Clinton requires Wisconsin (she’s down by 3% with 74% reporting) and Michigan to win (down by 1% with 64% reporting). So, it’s looking worse now. A win in NH would only bring her to a tie.

This would be the only winnable map for her now:

Clinton Requires Late win in Wisconsin to Win

Clinton Requires Late win in Wisconsin to Win

Update: she’s beginning to drop behind in Iowa (but still close) A loss in Iowa would require a win in Wisconsin, which remains a possibility.

It’s looking tough out there for Hillary, but here’s one scenario where she wins with 271 – 267 or 270-268.

The surprise state is that she’s leading in Iowa by 4.2%. Reporter Jon Ralston expects her to win Nevada. The Detroit Free Press has called Michigan for her. She can lose New Hampshire and Wisconsin and still win.

Hillary Clinton Electoral Map

Hillary Clinton Possible Electoral Map

According to Wikipedia, Maine and Nebraska use the “congressional district method”, selecting one elector within each congressional district by popular vote and selecting the remaining two electors by a statewide popular vote. The one or two point difference from above is if Clinton loses one or two of the Maine districts, dropping her win from 271 -268,  270 – 269 or a loss through the House at 269-269.

Posted by Jeff Reifman

Jeff is a technology consultant based in the Pacific Northwest. Try scheduling a meeting with his new startup Meeting Planner (https://meetingplanner.io), simpler, faster scheduling for work or play and read his series about building it). Follow @reifman on Twitter.